Florida Politics38%
Poll: Ola Hawatmeh holds narrow edge in unsettled CD 19 field 34%
By Jesse Mendoza20%
7/20/2026, 1:04:13 PM
BS Summary: This article contains 10 faulty reasoning types, including Framing Effect, Overconfidence Bias, and Biased Writer Voice, with Representativeness Heuristic as the most egregious example at 25.2% saturation with 85 hits. Analysis detected 310 faulty-reasoning hits from 337 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 34.5% and a BS Rank of 34% (20,416 of 30,584 articles). This article is better (less manipulative) than 66.80% of the article peer group.
A preliminary internal poll prepared for Ola Hawatmeh’s campaign shows her with a narrow edge in a six-candidate ballot test in the Republican Primary for Florida’s 19th Congressional District.
Hawatmeh receives nearly 13% of support, followed closely by former U.S.
Rep.
Chris Collins at nearly 12% and media executive Jim Schwartzel at about 10%.
Former Illinois Sen.
Jim Oberweis receives under 5%, former Trump administration official Catalina Lauf draws nearly 4% and former U.S.
Rep.
Madison Cawthorn receives just over 3%.
Another 54% selected “undecided or supporting someone else.”
The poll tested only six of the 10 Republicans who qualified for the Primary ballot, omitting Greg “Tex” Bukowski , Mike Pedersen , Linda Sawyer and John Strand .
As a result, it does not distinguish between respondents who remain undecided and those supporting one of the four candidates who were not tested.
Action Solutions conducted the survey from July 7 through July 19.
The polling memo said the current sample included 96 registered voters and plans for another collection phase using different outreach technology.
The report did not provide a margin of error.
The results also show Hawatmeh remains largely unknown.
More than three-quarters of respondents, nearly 77%, say they are unfamiliar with her or undecided about their opinion of her.
About 11% view her favorably, while about 12% hold an unfavorable opinion.
The campaign also tested a potential endorsement from President Donald Trump , with about 53% of respondents saying it would have no impact
Respondents were then told Hawatmeh had used her experience as a Senior Policy Advisor in Washington to help secure federal funding for Southwest Florida water infrastructure.
About 48% say the issue is very important when deciding whom to support, while nearly 19% call it somewhat important and 33% say it is not important.
Overall, the survey shows a race without a clear leader and considerable room for candidates to gain support as voters turn their attention toward the upcoming Primary.
Speakers
1speaker3.3%attributed speech326writer words
Selected voice
0%flagged-word coverageAction Solutions
11 attributed words100% of attributed speech70% writer coverage
Attribution is sentence-level. Pattern percentages are calculated only from words assigned to that voice.
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Analysis
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