CDC Data Shows Shooting Deaths Dropped, but Gun Suicides Hit a Record High 32%

By Jennifer Mascia21%

8/6/2026, 3:00:00 AM

BS Summary: This article contains 30 faulty reasoning types, including Post Hoc (False Cause), Confirmation Bias, and Hasty Generalization, with Negativity Bias as the most egregious example at 21.1% saturation with 240 hits. Analysis detected 1,868 faulty-reasoning hits from 1,139 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 34.1% and a BS Rank of 32% (20,295 of 29,795 articles). This article is better (less manipulative) than 68.10% of the article peer group.

Fatal shootings in the United States fell for the fourth consecutive year in 2025, according to a Trace analysis of new federal data. 
At least 42,348 people died of gunshot wounds last year, a 5 percent decrease from 2024 , and the lowest number in six years. 
The 2025 data , published in August by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, shows that the decrease in shooting deaths was driven almost entirely by a drop in gun homicides. 
Meanwhile, the number of people who died by suicide with a gun rose to its highest level on record to more than 28,000 in 2025, up from 27,600 people in 2024. 
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The South accounted for nearly half of U.S. gun deaths last year, while the Northeast had the fewest. 
The CDC’s numbers are based on state death certificates, and the totals for 2025 are provisional, meaning they will likely change slightly before being finalized early next year. 
Below, we break down the major findings from our analysis of the 2025 figures. 
Overall gun deaths decreased  again 
Last year’s total of 42,348 gun deaths represents a 13 percent decrease from the all-time high of nearly 49,000 gun deaths in 2021, when the COVID-19 pandemic fueled a historic surge in violence. 
Gun deaths have now outnumbered motor vehicle fatalities for nine straight years, with guns killing nearly 3,900 more people than car crashes in 2025. 
Last year, guns were the third leading cause of injury-related death, after overdoses and falls. 
Gun homicides were down for the fourth year in a row 
The number of people who were intentionally killed with a gun fell 16 percent, from more than 15,000 in 2024 to about 12,850 last year. 
It was the lowest single-year gun homicide tally in a dozen years. 
Several factors likely contributed to the decline, experts said. 
As The Trace has reported , cities like Baltimore have driven homicides to historic lows through a coordinated approach involving violence intervention, victim services, improved investigations, and sustained leadership from City Hall. 
“What the folks who work on homicide reduction have done so well is investing in communities, like community violence interruption groups and hospital-based violence interruption programs,” said Allie Bond, an assistant professor at Rutgers University’s New Jersey Gun Violence Research Center. 
Guns continued to kill more homicide victims than all other methods combined . 
Firearms were used in 74 percent of homicides in 2025, down 2 percentage points from the year before. 
Men accounted for the vast majority  81 percent  of gun homicide victims. 
Gun homicides among women decreased 10 percent between 2024 and 2025. 
Just over half of gun homicide victims were Black, even though Black people account for less than 14 percent of the population. 
Unintentional shootings were down almost 8 percent last year, while police shootings dropped 6 percent. 
Gun suicides were up for the seventh year in a row 
The CDC reported more than 28,000 gun suicides in 2025, a slight increase over the year before, when there were nearly 27,600 gun suicides. 
Last year’s total is the highest on record, which goes back to 1968. 
The upward trajectory stands in contrast to the overall decrease in gun violence since the height of the pandemic. 
Guns were used in 57 percent of all suicides last year  the highest share in at least a quarter-century. 
Guns killed more suicide victims than all other methods combined . 
Men accounted for nine out of every 10 gun suicide victims last year. 
The majority of gun suicide victims were white. 
An effort to reduce gun suicide in rural areas has ramped up in recent years , uniting gun safety and gun rights advocates around a rare area of common ground. 
But gun suicide among the country’s rural population remains stubbornly high, a trend that’s seeping into other demographics: Gun suicide increased the most among Black and Hispanic Americans, the 2025 CDC data revealed. 
“We’ve seen this consistent upward trend in gun suicides for several years now,” said Cassandra Crifasi, a public health professor at Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore who researches gun violence. 
“While we bent the curve on homicides by really working to address some of the factors that are driving violence and interrupting those cycles, we haven’t done as much in a sort of concerted way to address suicide.” 
“We know that in a moment of crisis, people reach for what’s available. 
And the lethality of what’s available really matters,” added Crifasi, a lifelong gun owner herself. 
There were regional disparities 
The South accounted for nearly half of U.S. gun deaths last year, while the Northeast  with slightly more than 3,600 gun deaths  had the fewest. 
Broken down by state, the highest rates of gun death were in Wyoming, Alaska, and Mississippi. 
Meanwhile, Massachusetts, New Jersey, and New York had the lowest rates. 
The highest rates of gun homicide were in Mississippi; Washington, D.C.; and Louisiana. 
Gun homicide rates were lowest in New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Massachusetts. 
Wyoming had the highest rate of gun suicide, followed by Alaska and Montana. 
The lowest rates of gun suicide were in Washington, D.C.; New Jersey; and Massachusetts. 
Gun deaths among children d ecreased 
Gun deaths among people under 18 fell 5 percent, from 2,227 in 2024 to 2,108 last year. 
Still, guns remained the leading cause of death for minors, surpassing car crashes for the sixth year in a row. 
Guns killed more children and teens last year than any other cause, including cancer and overdoses. 
Even though overall gun deaths among young people fell, gun suicides rose 15 percent. 
Crifasi said her research has found that gun suicide victims are getting younger and more diverse. 
During COVID, “many more women, Black Americans, and Hispanic Americans were buying guns for the first time, which is probably translating to some of the increases we’re seeing among young people,” she said. 
Most minors who use guns to harm themselves get them from the home of a family member or a friend. 
“Now we have more diverse young people living in homes with guns.” 
While gun sales have trended down since the pandemic, 103 million guns were purchased between 2020 and 2025  a quarter of the estimated 400 million guns in circulation, according to The Trace’s gun sales tracker . 
With that proliferation comes an elevated risk for households. 
“I think we may continue to see this for a few years to come,” Crifasi said of the stubbornly high suicide rate, “if folks are not thinking about the responsibilities that come with guns in the home.” 
Article reasoning-pattern comparisonThis article: 13.2%Jennifer Mascia: 1.3%The Trace: 1.7%Confirmation Bias13.2%This article: 9.7%Jennifer Mascia: 1.0%The Trace: 0.3%Anchoring Bias9.7%This article: 4.3%Jennifer Mascia: 2.2%The Trace: 1.1%Availability Heuristic4.3%This article: 8.3%Jennifer Mascia: 1.5%The Trace: 0.5%Representativeness Heuristic8.3%This article: 0.0%Jennifer Mascia: 1.4%The Trace: 0.5%Hindsight Bias0.0%This article: 9.6%Jennifer Mascia: 2.2%The Trace: 1.0%Overconfidence Bias9.6%This article: 9.0%Jennifer Mascia: 3.2%The Trace: 1.7%Framing Effect9.0%This article: 0.0%Jennifer Mascia: 0.0%The Trace: 0.1%Loss Aversion0.0%This article: 2.6%Jennifer Mascia: 0.4%The Trace: 0.2%Status Quo Bias2.6%This article: 0.0%Jennifer Mascia: 0.0%The Trace: 0.0%Sunk Cost Effect0.0%This article: 1.1%Jennifer Mascia: 0.6%The Trace: 0.5%Optimism Bias1.1%This article: 3.7%Jennifer Mascia: 1.4%The Trace: 0.7%Pessimism Bias3.7%This article: 21.1%Jennifer Mascia: 3.3%The Trace: 2.2%Negativity Bias21.1%This article: 0.0%Jennifer Mascia: 0.4%The Trace: 0.2%Self-Serving Bias0.0%This article: 3.3%Jennifer Mascia: 1.0%The Trace: 0.4%Fundamental Attribution Error3.3%This article: 0.0%Jennifer Mascia: 0.0%The Trace: 0.0%Actor-Observer Bias0.0%This article: 1.9%Jennifer Mascia: 0.4%The Trace: 0.3%In-Group Bias1.9%This article: 1.9%Jennifer Mascia: 0.1%The Trace: 0.1%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias1.9%This article: 2.6%Jennifer Mascia: 0.2%The Trace: 0.3%Halo Effect2.6%This article: 0.0%Jennifer Mascia: 0.0%The Trace: 0.0%Horn Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Jennifer Mascia: 0.0%The Trace: 0.0%Dunning-Kruger Effect0.0%This article: 1.5%Jennifer Mascia: 1.0%The Trace: 0.6%Recency Bias1.5%This article: 1.5%Jennifer Mascia: 0.8%The Trace: 0.2%Primacy Effect1.5%This article: 0.0%Jennifer Mascia: 0.0%The Trace: 0.0%Blind-Spot Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Jennifer Mascia: 0.1%The Trace: 0.6%Ad Hominem0.0%This article: 0.0%Jennifer Mascia: 0.4%The Trace: 0.2%Straw Man0.0%This article: 7.6%Jennifer Mascia: 2.5%The Trace: 1.6%Appeal to Authority7.6%This article: 6.2%Jennifer Mascia: 0.9%The Trace: 0.4%False Dilemma6.2%This article: 0.0%Jennifer Mascia: 0.6%The Trace: 0.5%Slippery Slope0.0%This article: 0.0%Jennifer Mascia: 0.0%The Trace: 0.0%Circular Reasoning0.0%This article: 9.9%Jennifer Mascia: 2.5%The Trace: 1.4%Hasty Generalization9.9%This article: 0.0%Jennifer Mascia: 0.0%The Trace: 0.1%Red Herring0.0%This article: 0.0%Jennifer Mascia: 0.1%The Trace: 0.0%Bandwagon0.0%This article: 2.6%Jennifer Mascia: 2.3%The Trace: 1.9%Appeal to Emotion2.6%This article: 0.0%Jennifer Mascia: 0.0%The Trace: 0.1%Begging the Question0.0%This article: 15.8%Jennifer Mascia: 2.5%The Trace: 1.9%Post Hoc (False Cause)15.8%This article: 0.0%Jennifer Mascia: 0.1%The Trace: 0.0%Tu Quoque0.0%This article: 3.2%Jennifer Mascia: 0.4%The Trace: 0.1%Burden of Proof3.2%This article: 1.1%Jennifer Mascia: 0.3%The Trace: 0.1%Appeal to Nature1.1%This article: 1.4%Jennifer Mascia: 0.1%The Trace: 0.1%Composition/Division1.4%This article: 2.8%Jennifer Mascia: 0.8%The Trace: 0.8%Anecdotal2.8%This article: 0.0%Jennifer Mascia: 0.0%The Trace: 0.0%No True Scotsman0.0%This article: 9.9%Jennifer Mascia: 1.3%The Trace: 0.5%Ambiguity (Equivocation)9.9%This article: 0.0%Jennifer Mascia: 0.0%The Trace: 0.0%Gambler’s Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Jennifer Mascia: 0.2%The Trace: 0.0%Middle Ground0.0%This article: 0.0%Jennifer Mascia: 0.0%The Trace: 0.0%Personal Incredulity0.0%This article: 3.2%Jennifer Mascia: 0.2%The Trace: 0.1%Special Pleading3.2%This article: 0.0%Jennifer Mascia: 0.0%The Trace: 0.1%Genetic Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Jennifer Mascia: 0.8%The Trace: 0.2%Unattributed Quote0.0%This article: 3.3%Jennifer Mascia: 1.1%The Trace: 0.3%Quote-first Misdirection3.3%This article: 0.0%Jennifer Mascia: 1.3%The Trace: 1.1%Biased Writer Voice0.0%This article: 0.3%Jennifer Mascia: 0.3%The Trace: 0.3%Indoctrination0.3%This article: 0.0%Jennifer Mascia: 0.5%The Trace: 0.6%Politically Left Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Jennifer Mascia: 0.0%The Trace: 0.0%Politically Right Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 1.1%Jennifer Mascia: 0.1%The Trace: 0.0%Attempt to Sell a Product or S…1.1%

1139 words analyzed.

Speakers

2speakers21%attributed speech904writer words
Selected voice

Allie Bond

100%flagged-word coverage
41 attributed words17% of attributed speech84% writer coverage
0%2.5%5.0%Attempt to Sell a Product -1.4 ptsWriter: 1.4%Allie Bond: 0.0%0.0%Indoctrination-0.3 ptsWriter: 0.3%Allie Bond: 0.0%0.0%

Attribution is sentence-level. Pattern percentages are calculated only from words assigned to that voice.

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Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.