AP News72%

Americans’ confidence in US economy falls as Iran conflict sends gas prices higher 68%

By MATT OTT79%

7/28/2026, 7:10:16 AM

BS Summary: This article contains 10 faulty reasoning types, including Confirmation Bias, Negativity Bias, and Recency Bias, with Post Hoc (False Cause) as the most egregious example at 44.3% saturation with 153 hits. Analysis detected 443 faulty-reasoning hits from 345 analyzed words, generating a BS Score of 52.5% and a BS Rank of 68% (10,097 of 31,341 articles). This article is worse (more manipulative) than 67.80% of the article peer group.

Americans’ confidence in the economy fell this month as gas prices resumed their climb after the U.S. and Iran stepped up their fighting. 
The Conference Board said Tuesday that its consumer confidence index fell to 90.8 in July from 92.2 in June. 
That’s essentially the same tepid range its been in since the beginning of the year. 
In late 2024 and early 2025 the readings were well above 100. 
Consumer attitudes had improved modestly in June as gas prices came down to around $3.70 a gallon from more than $4.50 a gallon in late April and early May. 
But as fighting in the Middle East escalated, the average price for a gallon of gas in the U.S. started to rise again. 
On Tuesday it was $4.10, according to the auto club AAA. 
After being attacked by the U.S. and Israel in late February, Iran shut down the Strait of Hormuz, through which about one-fifth of the world’s oil travels, causing a spike in gas prices. 
That accelerated inflation, causing Americans’ inflation-adjusted incomes to decline. 
Government data shows that buying food to bring home has gotten 33% more expensive since the beginning of 2019. 
To navigate those higher prices, Americans have turned to couponing, comparison shopping and cutting back on favorite foods as they absorb the biggest jump in grocery prices in a half-century. 
Beef epitomizes out-of-control grocery prices for many Americans. 
The price of a pound of ground beef reached $6.82 in June  79% more than at the beginning of 2019, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data. 
References to jobs and unemployment picked up slightly this month and views of the current job market fell. 
Expectations of how the labor market will be six months going forward improved slightly, but remained in negative territory. 
The number of consumers who mentioned war and geopolitics decreased this month, but the Board suspects that recent escalation in fighting between Iran and the U.S. could cause those mentions to rise in the next survey. 
Article reasoning-pattern comparisonThis article: 18.8%Matt Ott: 2.7%AP News: 1.9%Confirmation Bias18.8%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 3.4%AP News: 0.8%Anchoring Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 3.6%AP News: 2.5%Availability Heuristic0.0%This article: 2.3%Matt Ott: 1.5%AP News: 0.7%Representativeness Heuristic2.3%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.2%AP News: 0.4%Hindsight Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 4.2%AP News: 1.5%Overconfidence Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 8.8%AP News: 7.2%Framing Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.7%AP News: 0.4%Loss Aversion0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 1.3%AP News: 0.5%Status Quo Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.0%AP News: 0.1%Sunk Cost Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 4.8%AP News: 2.0%Optimism Bias0.0%This article: 5.5%Matt Ott: 3.5%AP News: 1.9%Pessimism Bias5.5%This article: 13.9%Matt Ott: 10.6%AP News: 8.7%Negativity Bias13.9%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 2.3%AP News: 1.6%Self-Serving Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 1.7%AP News: 0.8%Fundamental Attribution Error0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.0%AP News: 0.2%Actor-Observer Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.2%AP News: 1.0%In-Group Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.0%AP News: 0.6%Out-Group Homogeneity Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 1.4%AP News: 1.3%Halo Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.0%AP News: 0.1%Horn Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.0%AP News: 0.0%Dunning-Kruger Effect0.0%This article: 13.9%Matt Ott: 4.8%AP News: 1.2%Recency Bias13.9%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.0%AP News: 0.3%Primacy Effect0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.0%AP News: 0.0%Blind-Spot Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.0%AP News: 0.8%Ad Hominem0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.0%AP News: 0.2%Straw Man0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 3.8%AP News: 3.3%Appeal to Authority0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 1.3%AP News: 1.0%False Dilemma0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 2.3%AP News: 0.7%Slippery Slope0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.0%AP News: 0.1%Circular Reasoning0.0%This article: 11.0%Matt Ott: 2.9%AP News: 2.3%Hasty Generalization11.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.0%AP News: 0.2%Red Herring0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.0%AP News: 0.3%Bandwagon0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 7.0%AP News: 4.2%Appeal to Emotion0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 1.5%AP News: 0.5%Begging the Question0.0%This article: 44.3%Matt Ott: 7.6%AP News: 2.4%Post Hoc (False Cause)44.3%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.0%AP News: 0.1%Tu Quoque0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.0%AP News: 0.4%Burden of Proof0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.0%AP News: 0.1%Appeal to Nature0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.1%AP News: 0.1%Composition/Division0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 1.3%AP News: 1.1%Anecdotal0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.0%AP News: 0.0%No True Scotsman0.0%This article: 4.3%Matt Ott: 2.2%AP News: 1.4%Ambiguity (Equivocation)4.3%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.0%AP News: 0.0%Gambler’s Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.0%AP News: 0.1%Middle Ground0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.0%AP News: 0.0%Personal Incredulity0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.4%AP News: 0.1%Special Pleading0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.0%AP News: 0.1%Genetic Fallacy0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 1.3%AP News: 1.8%Unattributed Quote0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.1%AP News: 1.1%Quote-first Misdirection0.0%This article: 8.7%Matt Ott: 3.1%AP News: 2.7%Biased Writer Voice8.7%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.6%AP News: 0.5%Indoctrination0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.7%AP News: 0.7%Politically Left Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 0.0%Matt Ott: 0.8%AP News: 0.2%Politically Right Leaning Bias0.0%This article: 5.5%Matt Ott: 0.2%AP News: 0.2%Attempt to Sell a Product or S…5.5%

345 words analyzed.

Speakers

3speakers17%attributed speech287writer words
Selected voice

Conference Board

100%flagged-word coverage
19 attributed words33% of attributed speech89% writer coverage
0%50.0%100.0%Attempt to Sell a Product +100.0 ptsWriter: 0.0%Conference Board: 100.0%100.0%Biased Writer Voice-10.5 ptsWriter: 10.5%Conference Board: 0.0%0.0%

Attribution is sentence-level. Pattern percentages are calculated only from words assigned to that voice.

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Analysis

Hover over highlighted words in the article to view the associated bias or fallacy analysis.